Fifa International · resolved market
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80b6932dbcf0fd6442822409fb8e012f8b018d0198d9ea8a5b86b25a70d451aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 19,526$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Over | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 2,160$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.36 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 72c | 1,650$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.81 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 77c | 1,630$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.1 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 12c | 999.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Over | 67c | 999.95$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 918.08$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Under | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 12c | 721.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 21c | 681.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 10c | 646.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Over | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…9643backed Over | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…c927backed Over | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Under | 11c | 381.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Under | 13c | 365.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 35c | 352.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 8c | 333.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 13c | 330.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Over | 67c | 297$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over | 64c | 274.75$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 21c | 182.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 131.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Over | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Under | 12c | 128.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Under | 18c | 95.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 79c | 94.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 156 | 67.9%106 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 64c | 91.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b7…f309backed Under | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Over | 64c | 79.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over | 73c | 56.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 66cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 66c | 45.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 79c | 43.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Under | 39c | 38.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…c0eebacked Over | 71c | 26.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5this page
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: Croatia (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: Croatia (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)Croatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.