TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c32,624$22,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,285.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Over25c24,114$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over37c18,000$6,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,592.8412254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under64c11,053$7,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,023.131,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over10c9,738$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.364,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over36c7,656$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.792,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under64c6,068$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.662,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under65c5,578$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.731,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over32c4,518$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.7665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c3,715$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.272,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over21c2,799$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.4528025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over36c2,785$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over36c2,659$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.2215650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over32c2,285$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.162,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c1,909$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.362,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over34c1,803$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62012141.3%50 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over32c1,763$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.037949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over23c1,656$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.114,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over26c1,561$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.922,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over21c1,543$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.491,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4614351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55511946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over30c1,324$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1837237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over37c1,316$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.8410051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under64c1,047$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.753,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over25c839.12$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over37c799.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6567447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa761…866bbacked Over29c679.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over37c658.95$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8122846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over14c640$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.71,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over36c627$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.727250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under63c614.04$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.381,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd08…04fabacked Over37c529.73$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965820.7%12 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over37c528.38$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.513157.3%75 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over37c502.78$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.038831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1806157.4%35 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8433120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under69c397.87$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3463745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under64c386.51$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.145648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under74c380.27$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under70c357$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.12,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over36c314.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5216441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under64c312.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.546550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over19c304.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Under66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0311674.1%86 W · 30 L+16.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over34c296.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under63c270.96$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.071,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x074b…af96backed Over36c270.19$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.772536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under66c263.95$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x096a…269dbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over13c254$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over37c241.54$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3723443.6%102 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over23c240$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under64c229.48$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.613,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under69c223.19$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.191,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under71c221$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.433,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under63c219.54$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over30c209.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4387837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over32c204.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1834844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under63c199.97$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.991,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4422…5362backed Over37c198.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.33737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over33c193.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.961,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over38c169.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5912550.4%63 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under65c137.24$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3542853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1236…7d21backed Over36c132.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.713145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bd…d33bbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under70c130.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.792,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.13354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under64c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7382348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over36c116.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.071,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfdc…bab4backed Over37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b0b…d25bbacked Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215832.8%19 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e2…c13dbacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332650%13 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb758…2b0fbacked Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under64c92.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.471,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb73…4f95backed Over22c88.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.449542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over21c86.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.264725.5%12 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over33c86.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.951,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under65c86.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.542,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under69c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Over36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308130.9%25 W · 56 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over38c78.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8212454.8%68 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Over37c76.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2811040%44 W · 66 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked Over37c70.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0913353.4%71 W · 62 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under69c70.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.921,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.