TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c36,599$22,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,990.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under45c17,825$8,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,803.537331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over55c15,081$8,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,280.6353448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…0f20backed Over54c14,531$7,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,843.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over57c11,641$6,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,689.727020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over21c8,780$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.252,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c8,469$4,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over32c6,775$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.9419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c6,770$4,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.414,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over35c5,531$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.292,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over28c3,664$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.351,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over20c3,495$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.24,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over27c3,442$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.6965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over31c2,904$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.3617733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c2,819$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.732,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under46c2,557$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.5216953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c2,319$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under46c2,205$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.74238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over57c2,017$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.6811545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Under44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12012556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9622441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over40c1,904$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.7817938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over57c1,725$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.128652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a02…8773backed Under66c1,640$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.554060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c1,538$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbd…8990backed Over57c1,400$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.983740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,186$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.612,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under45c1,171$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.1112753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under66c1,059$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.998032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under43c999.97$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over45c935$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.145445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over48c873.35$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.192,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over56c801.5$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.8470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42445038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over55c799.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44019750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over30c796.07$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.432,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under44c790.27$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.5529232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over28c724.54$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8779149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Under43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39921429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c38…e679backed Under43c694.7$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.989325.8%24 W · 69 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Over55c658.8$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3414839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.177237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under74c647.17$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.92,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Under66c630.54$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.495251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over54c612.2$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.591,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cdc…25d5backed Over50c596.04$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.023450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over34c575.03$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over58c551.72$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32012556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under45c540$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29713543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over10c533$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.11,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff6…348fbacked Over56c523.41$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.111618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over60c500.42$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under45c488.89$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8913247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Under40c485.42$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.255850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over55c455.2$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.536350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over41c451.44$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0e…7d97backed Under45c444.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.666023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa70e…709fbacked Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2048151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over55c365.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c359.86$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.383,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005650%28 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c345$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.213,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under46c329$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.668651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1716354%34 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9322846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over34c297.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011447.4%54 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf052…e10bbacked Over29c291.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…f108backed Over26c288.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.49119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under46c285.62$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9234844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over54c276.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506129.5%18 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c266.16$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c265.79$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.71,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over26c249.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7748328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Over27c240.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6548055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over55c236.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.051,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2712529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Under66c218.18$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.186833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over54c215.44$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.341,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over55c213.03$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.171,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over57c207.31$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706737.3%25 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over56c174.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9932254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over58c172.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Over41c171.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1316841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2910857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2910055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under42c160.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8131046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.41,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over56c158.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.41,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512654%68 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd86d…648dbacked Over56c134.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.