TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae0f…f647backed Over64c30,848$19,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,742.794235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over64c20,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,799.9312254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c16,519$7,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,445.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under36c7,962$2,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,125.591,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over58c5,949$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.796848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under36c5,006$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.6336250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.8938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over63c3,199$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over65c2,798$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.9110051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c2,736$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under36c2,330$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.274447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under61c2,296$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.282,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c2,012$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.812,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under36c1,900$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21686452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c1,863$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.133,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over33c1,763$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.454,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over58c1,723$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.622441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over63c1,439$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.7353448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over57c1,429$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over64c1,416$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.992,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8867447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over64c1,267$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8113754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Under70c1,129$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.625251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under37c1,082$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.6613736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over39c1,064$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.722560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Under49c1,016$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9215418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under35c999.79$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.8664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under36c987.43$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.951,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under36c987$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.631,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under69c964.72$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.674,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over45c871.49$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over59c845.74$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c838.04$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.852,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over41c797.79$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.612,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c781.52$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.663,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over33c723.11$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.092,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Over61c720$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.219750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over65c697.06$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.098652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over61c634$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9937237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under37c626.5$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.891,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under65c546.2$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.32,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under36c543.11$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5976551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under68c523.86$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.241,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under44c517.63$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.8746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…e8bfbacked Over53c506.21$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.291546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc9…f2d3backed Over63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over30c497.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c496.45$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.083,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over63c471.42$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.996950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over64c470$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.816655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under70c462.17$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7578…e5dabacked Under37c409.22$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7859…7e8ebacked Over65c384.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b7…1c12backed Over65c383.2$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.089844.9%44 W · 54 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over49c355.87$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.387250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Under37c351.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3510354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over63c339.68$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21416441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over65c335.75$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8817045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62f…fca5backed Over59c335$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.015749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over65c303.08$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19747935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over65c300.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5613157.3%75 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over60c294.9$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over30c292.49$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7948328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over64c287$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6819958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c284$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.133,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb010…3c99backed Over64c281.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Over46c274.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4335034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over19c274.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.882,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7274…5040backed Over65c270.77$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1769551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506129.5%18 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Over60c240.38$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6412555.2%69 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over64c235$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.47945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over65c231.78$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6612550.4%63 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Over65c207.69$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over45c205.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.781,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fa…f90ebacked Over31c205.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.732245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over52c199.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.812,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Under70c188$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Under54c185.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5632145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under77c161$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013357.1%76 W · 57 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under36c156.13$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9242853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fc…3841backed Over65c154.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018750.8%95 W · 92 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0457…24b8backed Over66c143.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.542075%15 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over64c143$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.528261%50 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under37c140$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Over65c138.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.