TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75fa…f90e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panama vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.73
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$19.68
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.92
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.73
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.22
France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.72
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$99.12
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.13
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.89
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+152%+$81.58
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.07
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$24.24
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$141.97
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$29.02
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$92.61
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.73
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.4
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$151.23
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$42.35
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.94
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$115.65
CA Mineiro vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$78.92
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.5
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.57
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.95
CA Paranaense vs. SC Internacional: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$84.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.