Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840c83d60e65088b55cde3d6c1c407b22a7896873590fe23a3f2a79824f491d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 23,583$11,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,063.58 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Over | 46c | 10,238$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 1c | 8,466$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 5,364$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.39 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 53c | 4,742$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.23 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 5c | 4,247$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 3,930$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 3,636$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 63c | 3,518$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.35 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 3,047$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 3,000$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 3,000$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 1,783$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 46c | 1,376$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 1,245$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.17 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 64c | 1,195$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 54c | 1,082$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 798.92$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.49 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 46c | 790$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.46 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Over | 34c | 706.7$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 65c | 455$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 29c | 414.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 71c | 385.37$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 53c | 373.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 290.97$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 287.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…fad4backed Under | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 19c | 254.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 75c | 249.21$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 69c | 230.94$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 221.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Over | 46c | 219.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…f90ebacked Over | 25c | 216$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 188.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 34c | 183.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 56c | 162.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 151.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 79c | 134.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 16c | 108.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 37c | 100.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 97.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 19c | 95.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…6117backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 35c | 87.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 54c | 86.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 55c | 81.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 19c | 61.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Under | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 53c | 39.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 35c | 35.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 35c | 35.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 69c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Under | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 69c | 34.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 55c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 69c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Under | 80c | 13.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5this page
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: IK Sirius O/U 0.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 4.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-2.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)BK Hacken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.