Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3adb283515bae56af7320f693fe4fdb2f3a178bb4ff4fceee887edd8459952d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 5,299$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.21 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 4,824$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.7 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 29c | 3,665$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.74 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 3,514$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.13 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 61c | 3,077$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.75 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 1c | 2,004$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 67c | 1,808$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.24 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,681$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 31c | 1,344$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 77c | 1,035$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 34c | 1,031$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 53c | 1,015$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.07 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 45c | 895.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 885.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Under | 33c | 874.64$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.63 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 36c | 827.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 37c | 815.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 7c | 616.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 32c | 591.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 77c | 539.32$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 15c | 525.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 512.55$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 52c | 416.67$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 16c | 344.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 53c | 313.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…9cf1backed Over | 68c | 216.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 62c | 198.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 51c | 195.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 75c | 193.85$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 57c | 176.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 142.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 79c | 134.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 52c | 133.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 68c | 129.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Under | 33c | 124.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Over | 67c | 116.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 77c | 105.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Over | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 93.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 33c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 33c | 78.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over | 63c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed Over | 79c | 72.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 70.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 63.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 57.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 71c | 57.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 34c | 51.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 33c | 51.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…be60backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…172abacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 42.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 33c | 35.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…3c79backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 26.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 71c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 46c | 25.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…de12backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 54c | 24.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Over | 73c | 21.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 77c | 21.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 71c | 17.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 2.5this page
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: IK Sirius O/U 0.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 4.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-2.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)BK Hacken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.