TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No51c47,148$23,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,995.2953040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No42c32,509$13,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,661.2898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes49c25,000$12,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,7501735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No51c20,148$10,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,275.4833346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes67c18,888$12,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,233.551241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes49c16,160$7,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,241.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes49c12,333$6,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,289.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Yes49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1001485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.6wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+88.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes53c7,845$4,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,653.9199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No33c7,319$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.733240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No33c5,714$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.715440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes49c4,899$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.4913347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes45c3,500$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9351656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes49c2,603$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.631,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c2,302$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.4473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked No45c2,135$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes66c1,998$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.2868150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No7c1,454$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7913228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c1,438$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.2270249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No32c1,422$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.36341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Yes66c1,213$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c1,129$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.8372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No25c1,123$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6622841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No41c1,049$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.5387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No33c1,028$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.313952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes71c935.99$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.443759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+106.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No18c774.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.283525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No52c715.38$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No42c572.5$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3111633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No34c539.66$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3125652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No35c471.84$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd2…4f62backed Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c423.48$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.041520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-68.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17629370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes36c394$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.169726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Yes42c389.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No13c355$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.153946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No48c336.02$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1117244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No61c334.97$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8916657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No39c323.82$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.49540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…9401backed Yes67c313$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.292065%13 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick74cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes55c299.97$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.994242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No42c289.82$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4310249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Yes65c288.57$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No33c239.48$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0323953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No51c239.39$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.094158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75fa…f90ebacked No45c211.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes50c209.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551994.7%18 W · 1 L+5.8wins+0.31per pick64cpaid+51.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100175.9%1 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.30per pick36cpaid-75.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes52c192.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…c5f5backed Yes50c180.68$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed No52c179.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.132259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No39c179$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2110840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No37c170.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No29c167.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No42c160.14$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No33c160$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89660.4%58 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No34c158$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7212650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes74c156.03$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No20c155$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.157045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No44c142$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4822042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes36c136.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4812551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No28c135$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3230444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No29c125.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4919645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No51c122.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.455743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No27c121.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.191,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes68c116.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes47c114.39$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8630735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed No47c112.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No42c103$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.164955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked No47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes49c83.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4826450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No34c81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5418456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes72c80.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8916437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c79.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No44c77.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.865350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2691…6c3cbacked Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.435259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No33c71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No36c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5145140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes58c69.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.312343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes64c65.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.23,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…cb5bbacked Yes71c63.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c63.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.131,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Yes66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed No51c59.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.593336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91c7…808fbacked Yes71c56.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Yes44c55.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.736453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes39c55.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.791776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9827344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes72c53.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.981681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes50c52.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.46246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…321cbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes75c51.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.988032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.