Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae505d3b6021c191f2a4c6b6fb30e0f9a7b5dd052e09154154f0d7df342c05dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 6,612$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.13 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 27c | 4,705$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.23 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 73c | 2,667$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 2,013$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.03 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 1,333$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.84 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 1,128$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.68 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked No | 73c | 291.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 7c | 221.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Yes | 6c | 202.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 27c | 186.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 73c | 179.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 6c | 166.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 153.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 73c | 152$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 73c | 131.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 73c | 102.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 73c | 84.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 79.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56c…6afdbacked Yes | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 73c | 65.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed No | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 25c | 46.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed No | 73c | 42.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 73c | 38.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 29.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 73c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 73c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
- Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.