South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1cb3a00525de851daec7830af7d5242bf29c06f7a6a76badbfeff712dfc992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 65c | 2,500$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.24 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 2,489$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 12c | 2,061$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.08 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 34c | 1,647$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 4c | 1,333$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 13c | 927.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 669.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 61c | 620.11$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.78 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 5c | 602.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Over | 11c | 527.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 67c | 254.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…f90ebacked Over | 40c | 242.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Under | 61c | 225.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…2827backed Under | 73c | 199.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 18c | 190.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 18c | 190.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 34c | 164$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 27c | 148.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…8d8bbacked Over | 39c | 59.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 25c | 53.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…a37cbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Aldosivi 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Aldosivi O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Aldosivi O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Aldosivi O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Rosario Central 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Rosario Central O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Rosario Central O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Aldosivi (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Aldosivi won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)CA Aldosivi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.