TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CA Aldosiviof CA Rosario Central, CA Aldosivi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed CA Rosario Central35c104,457$36,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,558.9418352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Aldosivi68c33,839$22,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,932.082,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CA Aldosivi68c24,661$16,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,835.548,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked CA Aldosivi65c19,481$12,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,818.55,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked CA Aldosivi65c14,000$9,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9002740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed CA Rosario Central16c9,186$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.821,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed CA Aldosivi65c5,139$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.731,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed CA Aldosivi65c2,907$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.461,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed CA Aldosivi65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed CA Rosario Central27c1,731$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.912,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Aldosivi65c1,442$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed CA Aldosivi69c1,166$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.5346449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed CA Aldosivi69c712.08$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed CA Aldosivi67c710.43$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2650656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed CA Aldosivi68c667.58$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.383548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked CA Aldosivi66c648$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked CA Aldosivi66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed CA Aldosivi69c504.32$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15563061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed CA Aldosivi65c480$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed CA Aldosivi64c317.78$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.493,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed CA Aldosivi65c317$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9531039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed CA Rosario Central34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked CA Aldosivi68c299.3$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8221252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e7…ceedbacked CA Rosario Central37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed CA Aldosivi65c268.86$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.17748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed CA Aldosivi66c262.55$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.111155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked CA Aldosivi66c251.97$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4819164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed CA Rosario Central33c247$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5119437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed CA Aldosivi65c215.91$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.615651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed CA Aldosivi65c210.35$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6216449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed CA Aldosivi67c201.65$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.422850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed CA Aldosivi77c176.19$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5360156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed CA Aldosivi77c176.13$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked CA Aldosivi69c165.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9210458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed CA Aldosivi65c151.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed CA Aldosivi67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked CA Aldosivi72c145.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.87463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed CA Aldosivi65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.225345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed CA Aldosivi65c137.08$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.984858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed CA Aldosivi72c134.39$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3533365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed CA Aldosivi70c105.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7611861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed CA Aldosivi63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CA Aldosivi64c97.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9540451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed CA Aldosivi73c86.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6412662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed CA Aldosivi69c85.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.93467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed CA Aldosivi79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.816349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed CA Aldosivi65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9216459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked CA Rosario Central37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed CA Aldosivi64c62.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.252,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed CA Rosario Central30c61.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed CA Aldosivi65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.542748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed CA Rosario Central36c60.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked CA Rosario Central33c58.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked CA Aldosivi71c58.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9226465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed CA Aldosivi65c58.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed CA Aldosivi66c54.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.832070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed CA Aldosivi65c53.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5827855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked CA Aldosivi70c47.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.113961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed CA Aldosivi65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.156561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a29…cd80backed CA Aldosivi67c41.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.558100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed CA Rosario Central27c40.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked CA Aldosivi69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.236665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2841…feccbacked CA Aldosivi66c34.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe31f…a37cbacked CA Aldosivi65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed CA Aldosivi65c30.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.564242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed CA Aldosivi65c30.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.521872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3500…07f0backed CA Aldosivi72c28.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.072962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6935backed CA Aldosivi77c27.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.314173.2%30 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed CA Aldosivi65c26.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.293066.7%20 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db5…ef2fbacked CA Aldosivi65c25.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f06…2281backed CA Aldosivi65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c47…47f5backed CA Aldosivi65c21.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked CA Aldosivi65c20.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.181643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…2c1abacked CA Aldosivi65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…93f9backed CA Aldosivi65c19.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.911546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099b…5db8backed CA Aldosivi67c19.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed CA Aldosivi66c18.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4621044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44f…cdf6backed CA Aldosivi65c16.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed CA Aldosivi76c14.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.556768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.