TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over39c36,320$14,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,231.0518352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under61c11,693$7,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.172,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c8,323$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,808.971,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over38c7,895$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,894.744843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under61c6,219$3,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,802.581,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c4,252$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.663,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over50c3,424$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.2214829.7%44 W · 104 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c3,070$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.325,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.834747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under60c2,894$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.832,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under61c2,436$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.7951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under62c2,410$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.861,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under62c2,263$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3951,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c2,215$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.548,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2206243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under62c1,906$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.591,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c1,906$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.872,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c1,876$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.261,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under61c1,869$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.1312755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under60c1,372$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.1516160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c1,358$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.261,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under69c1,322$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.1830048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under60c1,205$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.051,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d13…cd85backed Under60c1,070$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.18875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over52c1,042$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.426827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under22c916.8$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under4c804.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9220036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under48c796.69$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.4611143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017852.8%94 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37224053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over53c479.19$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.081,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under61c464.48$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3327549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over31c424.51$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5119135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24419559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under61c382.51$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under61c368$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under62c355.93$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under61c327.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9910146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under67c298.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under4c255.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.391,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over37c253.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4849341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under48c228.06$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.477742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under44c213$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.724841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12224956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12221358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c199.68$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.562,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under61c190.51$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over43c183.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over62c154.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.622356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under62c144.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.725651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f0…a0b1backed Under41c128.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x613a…c470backed Over37c127.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over37c121.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under62c121$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0238233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…8d8bbacked Over66c114.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under61c106.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9919040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under61c104$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under61c95.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.516759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under48c83.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under61c81.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under55c76.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8546449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under54c75.32$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.035054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Over51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under66c68.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over36c66.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.653339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Under54c63.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.073548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c62.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.141,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under59c60.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6750656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over45c55.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5511328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under49c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over41c50.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over55c50.73$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8317051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under59c49.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9240451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under66c44.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4516449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under60c44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.66253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under33c42.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9521752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under61c41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0121366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.816349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.825345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under61c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5814563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.424257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under57c37.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.619164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under44c35.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.716524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over45c33.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.349026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under47c32.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.349740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over37c32.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.433256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over67c31.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5512156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under62c30.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7615651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724b…8cd9backed Over52c29.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.231250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over46c27.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9767548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under61c26.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3716234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under76c26.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.866877.9%53 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.