South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f91520f8b24366c10d7182e20ae40245f9f2718fa54aefb134f2496ce7b786d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 5,900$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.3 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed No | 63c | 2,542$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 1,573$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.97 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked No | 64c | 1,565$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 1,562$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.56 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.89 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 1,136$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.03 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 946$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.81 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 72c | 810.18$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.43 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 702.54$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.06 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 37c | 675.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.67 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 441.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed No | 64c | 428.28$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 64c | 284$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 262.66$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 233.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 37c | 188.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…3e8abacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 127$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 62c | 120.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…abf6backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 38c | 91.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 87.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3232…c3fabacked No | 61c | 81.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 80.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 33c | 78.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 37c | 68.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…bdf1backed No | 63c | 61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…17dfbacked Yes | 76c | 50.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 68c | 48.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 42.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 37.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 43c | 34.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 62c | 31.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 63c | 29.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 39c | 28.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 17.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Aldosivi 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Aldosivi O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Aldosivi O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Aldosivi O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Rosario Central 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Rosario Central O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: CA Rosario Central O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Aldosivi (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Aldosivi won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)CA Aldosivi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.