TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf83…3385backed Under36c10,714$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,854.3111338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c8,195$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,780.348,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over64c7,712$4,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,802.541,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,711$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under28c3,618$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.7111025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under7c3,571$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-52.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over72c3,072$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.7682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under40c2,096$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.9619155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under50c2,046$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.0929037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Over71c1,966$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.1610933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under28c1,966$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.573633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under10c1,860$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.17741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under34c1,662$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.428928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under43c1,603$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.4917440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under13c1,589$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over60c1,581$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.2916864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under8c1,367$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8611220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under47c1,306$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.8626835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under35c1,299$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.715954.2%32 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c1,268$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.251,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c1,221$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.315,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Under40c1,220$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.256827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over55c1,036$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.568833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under39c1,011$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.55248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5307248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under2c963.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8415552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under6c893.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6215045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Over66c705.89$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.054934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under38c690.48$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.6616051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under50c664.28$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.367742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under43c556.27$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0213856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under41c546.78$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7855250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa518…47e6backed Under50c477.5$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over62c477$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2635246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under39c449.55$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.998755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under49c424.72$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under34c424.48$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.246225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under49c410.64$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under33c364.05$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8112340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under42c342.6$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5112545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under36c328.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.866331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under6c308.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under48c303$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c299.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.551,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over68c276.61$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under49c262.37$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fd…302ebacked Over58c243.9$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.441442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Over64c234.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over80c230.88$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1820036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under31c223.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.438657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed Under31c204.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.913339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under37c201.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.912850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under31c199.52$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.855837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x607d…f414backed Under16c191.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over58c176.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.315834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c172.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.281,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under43c169.16$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.791258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under49c163.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over67c159.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3517051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Over65c153.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.752095%19 W · 1 L+7.3wins+0.36per pick59cpaid+67.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x87f8…9ff4backed Under43c140.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over57c139.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7410635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under34c128.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.96053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7127…c7a2backed Under20c126.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under45c125.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.619050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under47c112.77$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c112.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8472350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under47c108.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under38c99.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under42c90.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1111944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.214182.9%34 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75fa…f90ebacked Under53c85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.235240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under46c77.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7215364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under39c70.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over63c68.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under36c68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under38c67.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.931442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.825147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under50c59.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9963061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.824751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda0d…72a0backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+186.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under46c46.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2350656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Over48c45.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.574252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Over69c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144358.1%25 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over59c32.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.246230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1491…387abacked Under58c31.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Over63c30.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.176350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Over71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under38c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.926744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Under49c28.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over67c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2433658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under53c20.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.741262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.