South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac716e4f39d8d3520264ffd9e53dfe154248dcb9edfc86d8c285ab82e3614a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 15,207$10,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.2 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.99 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 8,073$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 48c | 4,630$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.97 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Over | 31c | 3,199$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.27 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 26c | 2,877$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.22 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 76c | 2,600$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.61 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,574$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 1,004$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.85 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 31c | 921.38$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Under | 51c | 793.68$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 61c | 682.21$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 74c | 652.29$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 18c | 543.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 28c | 526.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.54 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 80c | 502.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 14c | 398.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 60c | 385.45$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Over | 3c | 375$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 349.49$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 342.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.58 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Over | 7c | 322.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed Over | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 75c | 250.69$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 36c | 224.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 78c | 180.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 59c | 149.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 141.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 25c | 137.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 24c | 132.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 58c | 132.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 75c | 118.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 61c | 118$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 51c | 111.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 25c | 110.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 24c | 107.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Under | 67c | 84.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 62c | 81.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 79c | 75.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 23c | 74.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 73c | 68.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 52c | 59.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 59c | 55.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 34c | 54.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 32c | 53.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 24c | 52.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…90dfbacked Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Over | 77c | 37.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 34.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 33.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 67c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 68c | 29.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 62c | 18.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 68c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.