South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc601723a27abf88c448d2c6294b471488f49acb83debfcb764c02ac884da480d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 38c | 10,566$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 51c | 5,439$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.27 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…b9efbacked Yes | 50c | 2,938$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 2,234$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 2,059$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.54 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 1,909$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.33 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,551$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 49c | 664$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.91 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 616.41$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 570.37$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 499.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.01 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked No | 60c | 208.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 203$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 73c | 195.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 39c | 161.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 57c | 157$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 50c | 116.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 49c | 94.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 52c | 79.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 31c | 60.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 48c | 55.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…f7e6backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Yes | 34c | 43.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 80c | 42.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 67c | 41.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 36.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 70c | 31.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 41c | 25.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…7acbbacked No | 70c | 16.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.