South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6219872dfd7a62f2df2675600e92bca2661daf0fa04bfefa429348b0feb5f4d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 2,839$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 1,940$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 23c | 1,677$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.61 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 998.08$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.02 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 50c | 712.42$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.21 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 11c | 496.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 376.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.23 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 6c | 365.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 74c | 336.05$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 50c | 305$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 53c | 275.32$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.86 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 43c | 274.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 259.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 50c | 250.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 138.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Over | 36c | 129.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Under | 50c | 97.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 13c | 92.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 87.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 50c | 78.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 77c | 77.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 51c | 75.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 76c | 72.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 49c | 59.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 50c | 56.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 78c | 55.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 36.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 69c | 34.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…5703backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 79c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…7acbbacked Under | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 65c | 16.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 0.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 2.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.