TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c3,591$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.185,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c2,848$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.318,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c2,117$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.062,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over69c1,978$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.91384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+81.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x31b3…b35cbacked Under15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under62c1,495$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.173557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under38c1,456$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.042,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c1,300$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.021,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Under52c1,158$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.113262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over39c1,148$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.561984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+54.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under48c1,088$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.383148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26021366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over53c982.59$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.858763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under2c926.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over74c906.56$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over52c901.18$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.7875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under3c834.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over59c678$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.982982.8%24 W · 5 L+11.1wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+93.6%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under16c676.43$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9331136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under4c650.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under37c539.93$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under15c512.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.82911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Under53c458.75$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.421631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over79c361.43$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.844362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over75c357.81$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.452878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under25c346.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.741,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over57c315.13$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.230048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under62c250$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9719040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75fa…f90ebacked Under45c211.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over76c211.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6476951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over40c194.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c2…d39ebacked Over55c181.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.811656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under60c163.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.135356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c99.85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.173,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.344858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.349860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over55c90.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.95354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under58c86.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over59c84.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.742560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over59c84.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.742958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over64c81.41$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.271,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under38c76.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0832139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c72.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.322,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5881…ca26backed Over58c69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.98666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9749341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over67c62.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.225855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over62c61.92$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5351750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Under20c61.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.323759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over74c56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.056877.9%53 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over74c52.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6241262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over71c51.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9426965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under34c50.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1916449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over51c49.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.432766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Under62c49.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.753452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under27c47.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…ab77backed Over54c37.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over57c35.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.084456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66db…370fbacked Under59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Over59c33.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.892157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…1ca6backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4941…a2bebacked Under62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under58c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under49c29.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4860156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Under60c29.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over40c29.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under59c26.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.372548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under48c25.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x256a…8fb4backed Over55c25.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.451566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over66c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9767548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.