South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b0f187f7538b2444ed2e748aa76298c48ea3b6f79d525d36404b01eaab56df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 25c | 3,370$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.89 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Over | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 2,357$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 44c | 1,820$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,486$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 1,078$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.14 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 65c | 896.08$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.11 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…54b0backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 22c | 344.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 32c | 248.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under | 11c | 176.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 73c | 145$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Under | 70c | 127$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 12c | 123.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 73c | 114.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 23c | 108.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 106.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 102.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 19c | 100.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 74c | 92.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 75c | 90.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 89.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Over | 30c | 87.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 41c | 82.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 25c | 79.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 29c | 72.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 28c | 71.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 60c | 64.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 65c | 56.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Over | 77c | 56.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 75c | 55.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 56c | 51.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 69c | 35.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 74c | 34.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…50cbbacked Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 29.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 66c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…f26ebacked Over | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 71c | 24.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 72c | 19.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 71c | 15.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.