Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6a7b3675e09ed6233b347c016ca8899fb3b4c6ceda44e53cdca19d9505c3704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Under | 33c | 2,388$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.5 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Over | 69c | 1,672$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.6 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +12.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 30c | 736.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.92 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 504.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…13a1backed Under | 31c | 493.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 454$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 70c | 389.87$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 59c | 334.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Over | 71c | 282.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 69c | 258.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Over | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 29c | 223.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…5c2dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…f90ebacked Under | 35c | 182.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Over | 67c | 181.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 32c | 119.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…4573backed Over | 69c | 115.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 112.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Over | 47c | 107$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…fa11backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 31c | 93.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 68c | 69.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 30c | 67.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 67c | 59.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Over | 70c | 52.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 69c | 48.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…df21backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 65c | 45.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…9997backed Over | 50c | 26.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…590cbacked Over | 56c | 23.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 67c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 67c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 70c | 18.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab4…62d0backed Over | 71c | 15.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.