TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,039 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over59c3,000$1,770 inLost-$1,769.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x427a…4e18backed Under41c1,352$554 inWon+$797.721353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under74c812.21$601 inWon+$211.023,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Under41c797.21$327 inWon+$470.353464.7%22 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+60.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Under41c622.05$255 inWon+$367.016654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under45c447.06$200 inWon+$247.062365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over58c400$232 inLost-$2321,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Under53c260$138 inWon+$122.24839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under51c248.75$127 inWon+$121.6677845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ca…35f7backed Under41c195.12$80 inWon+$115.122470.8%17 W · 7 L+6.6wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+65.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under70c178$124 inWon+$53.652,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under70c178$125 inWon+$53.42,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under70c163.86$114 inWon+$49.871,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under73c80$58 inWon+$21.792,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under70c56.75$40 inWon+$16.7423858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under70c56.75$40 inWon+$16.7443460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under48c50.03$24 inWon+$26.022,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under74c50$37 inWon+$1311745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under72c40$29 inWon+$11.21,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under41c31.1$13 inWon+$18.3511065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed Under61c19.4$12 inWon+$7.52128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.