Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b07aa52dd76a0d67790935f6f96fe8de6aba3f562b5da15153a39fa016635b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea8f…1691backed Yes | 16c | 3,068$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 17c | 2,775$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.99 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 1,712$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.5 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,060$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.3 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 10c | 827.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.54 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 11c | 749.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.76 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 746.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 10c | 475.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.75 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 8c | 373.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes | 16c | 300$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed No | 10c | 200.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…19d4backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 18c | 185.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 10c | 183.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 10c | 181.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…3dedbacked No | 9c | 179.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…ec18backed Yes | 15c | 165.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…9997backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…2a4dbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed No | 13c | 114.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…4cebbacked Yes | 16c | 88.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 70c | 69.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a7…7349backed Yes | 16c | 66.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…f2c3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…80cebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…5de2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4d45backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.