TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,739,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,871,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,739,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 732 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c353,523$206,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,753.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over56c200,000$112,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,999.9315552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under44c132,032$58,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,631.3942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c124,494$65,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,130.4749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c124,262$59,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,248.6477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over21c114,918$24,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,789.372326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under43c107,932$46,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,410.728440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02e2…cd40backed Under55c104,564$57,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,140.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over57c100,000$57,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,0004456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under79c62,507$49,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,296.951,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Under51c39,212$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0005523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over68c28,022$18,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,102.2714542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under79c26,412$20,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,76964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over55c25,000$13,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,2505352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over45c22,254$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,254.214248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under46c16,710$7,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,669.482,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Over59c15,963$9,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,481.212532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under70c13,140$9,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,172.536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Over34c13,056$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,649.396943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under3c12,903$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.114544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa107…b7bdbacked Over46c12,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c11,847$9,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,351.952,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under16c10,843$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.7428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under10c10,072$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.759742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over21c10,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,90059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under2c10,000$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3315844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.94344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c9,983$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,128.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723a…518bbacked Over54c9,208$4,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,235.931070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under78c9,141$7,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,130.971,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over64c8,820$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Under59c8,482$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c8,140$2,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.882,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over20c7,322$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,857.61,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under47c7,006$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.742,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over34c7,000$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,634.8943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under72c6,973$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.892,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under59c6,684$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.9125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under68c6,447$4,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.842,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under79c6,277$4,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.481,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over37c6,233$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.182,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under54c6,117$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.6244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under56c5,989$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,347.439233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under62c5,414$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.3639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over20c5,290$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,213.482,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over74c5,289$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.2458642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over20c5,123$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,098.3612248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over25c4,949$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.974235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over65c4,893$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.7337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under31c4,889$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.2985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under51c4,886$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.9837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under57c4,882$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.8923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under1c4,856$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5684738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under46c4,704$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.2613448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under46c4,630$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.6744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under60c4,325$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.2933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under80c4,200$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.791,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over39c4,019$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,470.1222342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over20c4,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2008617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over72c3,947$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.158332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under80c3,895$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over64c3,833$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.3522959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374b…4a4cbacked Over56c3,700$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6284734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under54c3,694$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.764641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over20c3,604$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.242,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over45c3,602$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.5761750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under79c3,323$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.371,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over20c3,320$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6562,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under77c3,316$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.8820150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under2c3,271$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.429323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over53c3,249$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under41c3,150$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.551,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under12c3,148$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.6321759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Under36c3,107$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.155747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Under57c3,104$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7731741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over60c3,047$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.134264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over59c3,040$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.371,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Over13c3,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6006330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under41c2,988$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.1238745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under56c2,900$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.0143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under8c2,778$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5127931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742d…020dbacked Over21c2,621$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.673020%6 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over16c2,544$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.7545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Over29c2,479$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.24829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c2,464$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.882,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under30c2,438$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.1334845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Under66c2,222$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5212325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Under47c2,200$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0345429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Under9c2,143$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0411044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over71c2,139$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.391,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4d4…a750backed Over32c2,138$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.742927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over16c2,100$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.9315920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Over38c2,058$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.917835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Under9c2,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703525.7%9 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick6cpaid+327.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over50c1,959$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.5210331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over20c1,945$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.214612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under61c1,909$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.6116050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.