TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$418,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$476,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No64c38,405$24,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,491.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes41c33,544$13,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,926.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No59c30,087$17,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,781.523,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c29,650$10,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,283.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No60c25,268$15,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,218.8829740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Yes41c22,953$9,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,542.033930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes41c11,231$4,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,652.71,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a6…5bf8backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.8120044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No59c9,263$5,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,465.041,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f66…0d6abacked Yes41c8,368$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,936.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No58c7,401$4,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,292.648046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No59c7,350$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,336.7129646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No60c6,851$4,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,110.3656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes37c6,642$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.362,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes40c6,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9513746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked No59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.8311343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No60c5,718$3,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.51,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c5,536$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.272,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes40c5,208$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.7423949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec8…d2e2backed Yes41c5,139$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes40c4,974$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.893756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No60c4,667$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80019150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes41c4,540$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.752,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.8229250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Yes41c3,732$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.717753.2%41 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Yes34c3,678$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.2743230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Yes41c3,620$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.795429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No60c3,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No63c3,287$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.471,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes37c2,964$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.411,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes42c2,857$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.143324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c2,511$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.984,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No66c2,500$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.617143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60c9…9e8abacked Yes41c2,388$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.193135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes41c2,317$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.0717944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c2,288$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.882,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed Yes40c2,220$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.592665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes41c2,169$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.7143145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No60c2,157$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.092,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes37c2,112$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.891,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed No61c2,094$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.6821044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No59c2,034$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes40c1,875$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1257541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes37c1,871$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.351,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No59c1,866$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.251,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No60c1,750$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05059752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked No59c1,610$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.694751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No59c1,548$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.3919545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9716647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No59c1,450$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.5671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed No59c1,356$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes38c1,313$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.9314546.9%68 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes35c1,200$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.642,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes41c1,135$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.816432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked No62c1,123$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.6736543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes79c1,111$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No59c1,101$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.0464443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes41c1,100$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64935036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes35c1,095$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.7610331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes39c1,038$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.4610331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No59c1,029$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.1416244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No60c1,025$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61530950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6007925.3%20 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Yes41c1,000$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.39573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Yes41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.6114637.7%55 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e6d…b276backed Yes31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.747832.1%25 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c92…c17fbacked Yes41c908$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.724814.6%7 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No59c904.95$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.621,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes34c868$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.462,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63cf…94ddbacked No60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4725466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No59c789.83$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46622643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked No62c769.32$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.6733245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c753.75$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.041,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7124347.7%116 W · 127 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7124344.4%108 W · 135 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb902…06d8backed Yes41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.714564.4%29 W · 16 L+8.8wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c7d…6897backed Yes41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.717541.3%31 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes40c725.25$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.257058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6e…2ecabacked Yes38c705.31$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.314042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked No59c700.18$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.625740.4%23 W · 34 L-9.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes42c695.52$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.48740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No59c693.47$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1547235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No62c683.85$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.811,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c665.26$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.53,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c636.07$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.783,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37512744.1%56 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes41c610$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.94445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2412763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Yes35c571.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4511226.8%30 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No60c527$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.213951.8%72 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked No66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b29…b2f7backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30036838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes30c499.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.995424.1%13 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf024…fbd3backed Yes40c499.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.983033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.