TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c86,458$60,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,857.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c39,625$11,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,272.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over32c24,252$7,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,646.371,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c17,925$12,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,569.384,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over36c10,498$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.1419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c9,425$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.424,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c8,426$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.992,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over33c4,074$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.412,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over33c3,900$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over36c3,537$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over38c3,030$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.021,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Under69c2,875$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.215860.3%35 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over28c2,610$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.252,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over59c2,568$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.79573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under10c2,086$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.892,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over19c2,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39014226.8%38 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over16c1,806$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3747744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over37c1,438$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.672352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over33c1,432$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.011,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39bc…2739backed Over37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009241.3%38 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over11c1,267$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.373,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under68c1,178$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3921937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over40c1,138$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under34c1,022$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6742,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over37c999.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9912724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c969.01$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Over11c910$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over78c791.22$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.151,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over32c777$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.42,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eaa…38cbbacked Over39c761.1$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Over14c661.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.49348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6898…19d4backed Over20c614.67$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…e713backed Over35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004542.2%19 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over10c530$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…1398backed Over38c526.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over26c504.4$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.242,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ea…3955backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over36c499.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9815044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over9c493$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.371,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Over35c399.28$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.738658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over39c361.53$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14122643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d23…6c83backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Under63c315.13$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.614939.6%59 W · 90 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under80c313.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.148942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd85…1388backed Over39c308.63$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under64c306.11$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.161,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7de…6097backed Over28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844037.5%15 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under75c296.31$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.161,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c285.7$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.261,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over26c275$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.516725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over13c267.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Over38c254.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.891625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over10c227.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Over38c224.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8515041.3%62 W · 88 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabf…832abacked Over31c219.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.512748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb75…cf4ebacked Over39c201.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.661866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Under7c191.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3220850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over22c185.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4208…a0c2backed Over79c184$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.092665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over11c181.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209535.8%34 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under13c180.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.251,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over11c177.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.853,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over39c166.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1319935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2a…9997backed Over9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Over31c154.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810634%36 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over33c153.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06aa…fbf3backed Over34c146.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x465e…0368backed Over30c146.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c141.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.292,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xba42…2404backed Over38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.42835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a77…85b2backed Under71c126.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.761963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9986…1dfbbacked Over40c124.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over23c122.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5598439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292a…e42fbacked Over39c119.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.783622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over11c117.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.952,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb869…7f80backed Over22c114.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4421240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660e…0e69backed Over11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123129%9 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95bd…7d0ebacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-72.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over22c96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2443145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc45d…9e87backed Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538d…b192backed Over38c84.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under16c82.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.841444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Over39c80.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.355236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.512,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac7b…3327backed Over39c74.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over38c72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba7…106ebacked Over32c70.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.23250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf288…3c08backed Over37c64.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under78c63.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9937971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66b…b1d1backed Over26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610348.5%50 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1606…9a7cbacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa96d…1818backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.