TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,713 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15ec…267dbacked Over7c5,000$325 inLost-$32527845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over4c4,243$151 inLost-$151.242,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over2c1,971$43 inLost-$43.371,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over2c1,926$40 inLost-$40.4521333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2a…9997backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost-$155431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b7…239fbacked Over3c963.86$27 inLost-$26.834134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked Over3c800.86$24 inLost-$249839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over2c800$17 inLost-$1746525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over2c700.39$14 inLost-$14.324541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6898…19d4backed Over8c625$50 inLost-$502218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over2c578.37$13 inLost-$13.295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over9c549.45$50 inLost-$507639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…8b7ebacked Over5c544.7$29 inLost-$29.442540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over4c542.37$20 inLost-$19.692,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c535.17$37 inLost-$37.262,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over5c500.66$24 inLost-$24.323,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over3c449.53$12 inLost-$11.611,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Over3c433.33$13 inLost-$136358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over5c318.04$14 inLost-$14.311,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Over6c306.61$18 inLost-$18.097524%18 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd5…210ebacked Over6c250$15 inLost-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.