TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$385,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x780a…84f0backed Over76c80,285$61,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,274.751776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under52c48,646$25,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,295.915352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over48c43,574$20,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,658.311855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c42,154$10,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,116.93,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c34,240$12,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,819.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over48c18,750$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,75014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under24c14,645$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.771,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c6,341$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.243,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under45c6,136$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.6924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c5,546$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.172,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under31c4,527$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.5236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over76c4,282$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under40c4,118$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.39233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over49c2,840$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9320262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over73c2,576$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.8111851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under43c2,474$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.0844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under24c2,304$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.793,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under24c2,170$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.84327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c1,977$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.384,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over48c1,685$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.9761750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under23c1,675$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3316331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under24c1,608$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38619250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under24c1,563$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.143,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c1,521$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over76c1,272$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.612,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under47c1,263$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under36c1,237$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.7137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under39c1,167$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Under26c1,136$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.269840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under26c1,099$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2852532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under24c1,041$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.878942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4111643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over56c999.76$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.8812241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under42c923.92$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9226647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under43c806.69$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6623637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under23c712.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.421,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.933253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8914659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over55c657.3$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.561,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under24c600.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under24c600.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.11,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over60c598.61$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.641,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under46c521.73$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.687357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bba…d7b8backed Over48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.834535.6%16 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26010931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over62c484.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4712040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under45c435.21$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under48c400.14$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1338745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13622153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over62c400$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.671,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under51c362.57$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9130054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c352.51$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.382,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8318936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x760b…1577backed Under50c326.45$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.32556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over63c303.36$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.246346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10817459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7578…6426backed Under25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757335.6%26 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under24c275.66$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1636045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Under24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028545.6%130 W · 155 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over76c244$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.63,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over75c216.66$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.162,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over49c204.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1927655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7620651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad6…34c6backed Under25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under43c185$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0447744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over48c183.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3362452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under52c182.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.124330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.231046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over64c175.81$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.087045.7%32 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over65c175.55$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.662,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under24c162.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1114458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over77c162.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.449467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d3…cbb9backed Over70c162.71$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.812661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Over71c160.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.568058.8%47 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Over50c158$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over79c153$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1311338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under42c142.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfeb…9498backed Over48c130.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.47520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a0…ad68backed Over64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under26c122.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5547546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ba…50f6backed Over57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb8…d90abacked Under39c102.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010435.6%37 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0429138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x929e…6a87backed Over76c100.28$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.073565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4811447.4%54 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under52c96.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9929740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7557…2a24backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5919548.7%95 W · 100 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Under28c89.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over76c87.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2110849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under47c87.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4129639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4027028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over69c71.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9563152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under24c69.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6270948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.