TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7557…2a24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$97.39
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.17
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Canada vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$86.62
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Irelandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlandsbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$426.71
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Irelandbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$31.05
Will New Zealand win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$625.9
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$317
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Irelandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$107.14
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlandsbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.74
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+171%+$35.91
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.12
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.2
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+522.8%+$261.39
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+45%+$96.77
Will the Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win fewer than 40 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$91
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 100 and 149 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$92.73
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$149.85
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.