Cricket · resolved market
Will New Zealand win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b38a022ad976357ba7e1994c0478d29dbc601cc06b1b75a01fb9640641e65e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 66c | 4,580$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.57 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 26c | 1,369$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.36 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…58e7backed No | 16c | 1,212$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 45c | 1,199$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.12 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…2a24backed Yes | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.9 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Yes | 56c | 868.95$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 15c | 569.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…2febbacked No | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 61c | 260.01$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Yes | 76c | 238.76$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 192.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked No | 65c | 138.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 53c | 124.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked No | 37c | 115.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 17c | 110.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 63c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 77c | 108.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…37a8backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Yes | 52c | 96.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30f…b556backed Yes | 77c | 94.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 57c | 89.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 65c | 78.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked No | 52c | 76.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 40c | 75.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…ca07backed Yes | 54c | 49.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…e612backed Yes | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…510fbacked Yes | 38c | 47.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed No | 64c | 46.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…c1fbbacked Yes | 38c | 44.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…ae2abacked Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…616fbacked Yes | 45c | 33.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9640…0c61backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked No | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 63c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…5c83backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand win?this page
- Will England win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.