Cricket · resolved market
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Bangladesh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01049118bd542fc53883ea000138349992b30d9e59c1004ee1496b25e1fa8a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof South Africa, Bangladesh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Bangladesh | 2c | 38,313$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.55 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Bangladesh | 3c | 13,279$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.06 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Bangladesh | 2c | 10,435$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Bangladesh | 5c | 8,000$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.58 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bangladesh | 2c | 3,913$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Bangladesh | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6246…e185backed Bangladesh | 5c | 1,800$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Bangladesh | 2c | 1,569$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bangladesh | 7c | 1,323$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Bangladesh | 4c | 1,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bangladesh | 4c | 1,235$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Bangladesh | 8c | 1,160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Bangladesh | 6c | 1,141$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bangladesh | 4c | 1,059$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bangladesh | 4c | 1,032$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Bangladesh | 2c | 1,012$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…2a24backed Bangladesh | 4c | 937.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bangladesh | 7c | 894.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…00a5backed Bangladesh | 3c | 754.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked Bangladesh | 3c | 692.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Bangladesh | 7c | 599.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Bangladesh | 7c | 542.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bangladesh | 6c | 508.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Bangladesh | 6c | 467.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bangladesh | 6c | 427.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…0a2ebacked Bangladesh | 7c | 424.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Bangladesh | 8c | 384$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Bangladesh | 4c | 368.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bangladesh | 6c | 362.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…0e11backed Bangladesh | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Bangladesh | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Bangladesh | 7c | 244.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Bangladesh | 8c | 216.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Bangladesh | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bangladesh | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Bangladesh | 6c | 190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Bangladesh | 8c | 153.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Bangladesh | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Bangladeshthis page
- ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Bangladesh - Who wins the toss?Bangladesh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.