TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20b3…0e11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5228.8%15 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$400.45
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$79.17
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Felix Nmecha: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rocketsbacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.24
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
T20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs Indiabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedombacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$96.27
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+270%+$425.98
Major League Cricket: Mi New York vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$34.78
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$94.84
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Mi New Yorkbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Major League Cricket: Los Angeles Knight Riders vs Washington Freedombacked Los Angeles Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bangladesh win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+799.4%+$199.84
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$62.45
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bryan Mbeumo: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Coventry City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$39.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$20.42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+400%+$78.68
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-79.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+175.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.