TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under51c17,597$9,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,013.6913742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c11,075$5,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,562.787436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9812649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over49c9,369$4,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.542441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c5,756$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.176,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under45c4,850$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.9881234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under13c4,616$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under50c3,780$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over50c3,379$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.318253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c2,740$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.5755351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…bb8abacked Under51c2,142$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c2,049$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.0595332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c1,823$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.864,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over69c1,735$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.453452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over49c1,531$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.089735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under47c1,335$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.631844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over44c1,295$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.351353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+46.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62414158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c1,129$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.182231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over67c1,025$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1145249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa3…e22bbacked Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52069651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under33c823.15$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.461,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c705.83$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9580853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under53c660.38$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c545.09$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1957847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over54c456.43$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.961963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over79c412.01$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.523036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed Over54c357.37$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.395848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c347.98$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0853240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over48c307.34$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.828643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under51c290.72$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over71c279$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.987844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Over54c263.91$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under52c259.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c226.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.131,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under48c213.46$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4617959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a00…9ac7backed Over52c199.31$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under15c196.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.641,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0842240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002626.9%7 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over68c186$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5212045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1920054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over68c182.72$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4711049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under52c169.22$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.994027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over49c168.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.762231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over51c160$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799346.2%43 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over53c160$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over80c138.75$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b3…0e11backed Over51c127.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.452142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Under52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5110747.7%51 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4721448.6%104 W · 110 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Over51c99.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over68c93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.766746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under51c85.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3621440.7%87 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under20c83.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3613633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under51c77.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…437fbacked Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over48c64.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.561,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over50c63.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under56c54.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.46251.6%32 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb371…472abacked Under47c51.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over77c51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.733735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Under52c50.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa6…2663backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over54c44.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.411217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under48c39.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.01944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over50c39.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.787456.8%42 W · 32 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f73…c2d5backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under47c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1512654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Over54c38.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9518748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744450%22 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over68c34.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9469742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.688048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2318…36c8backed Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under47c31.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.467447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over70c30.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.440721.9%89 W · 318 L-53.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over59c30.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.551,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d9f…10cabacked Under52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over52c28.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.842171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under53c27.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over49c26.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.714856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over49c26.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5321857.3%125 W · 93 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.