TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Brighton & Hove Albion FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Aston Villa FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,656 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC37c5,387$2,017 inWon+$3,370.3481234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Aston Villa FC78c1,827$1,423 inLost-$1,422.5955351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e7…b527backed Aston Villa FC34c1,044$355 inLost-$355425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Aston Villa FC78c999.99$780 inLost-$779.991957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aston Villa FC39c957.27$374 inLost-$374.2254132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Aston Villa FC78c951.2$742 inLost-$741.949735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Aston Villa FC79c603$476 inLost-$476.3713742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC24c312.5$75 inWon+$237.55332.1%17 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC23c304.35$70 inWon+$234.3523220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC21c266.93$56 inWon+$210.8757847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Aston Villa FC49c209.33$103 inLost-$103.091,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db0…a3b6backed Aston Villa FC79c196.62$155 inLost-$155.331050%5 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC43c179.33$77 inWon+$102.223452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC30c176.83$53 inWon+$124.3195332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Aston Villa FC80c169.66$136 inLost-$135.73911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Aston Villa FC18c115.01$20 inLost-$20.376,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Aston Villa FC35c108.93$38 inLost-$38.2413633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Aston Villa FC76c97.5$74 inLost-$74.14,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Aston Villa FC34c88.24$30 inLost-$301315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Aston Villa FC78c84.65$66 inLost-$66.032,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Aston Villa FC75c78$59 inLost-$58.53735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed Aston Villa FC79c63.29$50 inLost-$501020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC25c62.75$16 inWon+$47.0621250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Aston Villa FC27c54.23$15 inLost-$14.731,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Aston Villa FC78c50$39 inLost-$38.869346.2%43 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9991…b2cebacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC41c48.82$20 inWon+$28.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+120.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC41c45$18 inWon+$26.553855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9deb…a4f2backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC68c44.12$30 inWon+$14.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+165.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Aston Villa FC79c36.75$29 inLost-$28.91,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Aston Villa FC78c31.01$24 inLost-$24.1910543.8%46 W · 59 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Aston Villa FC60c25$15 inLost-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-59.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93ff…4e38backed Aston Villa FC79c20$16 inLost-$15.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Aston Villa FC79c19.96$16 inLost-$15.774062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x394b…4f55backed Aston Villa FC79c18.99$15 inLost-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick68cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0f…859dbacked Aston Villa FC79c18.99$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ef…26adbacked Aston Villa FC79c15.19$12 inLost-$124252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Aston Villa FC78c13.47$11 inLost-$10.511747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.