TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,516 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ee3…a899backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under67c277.51$186 inWon+$91.584438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c264.97$205 inWon+$59.66,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c250.3$172 inWon+$78.311,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under68c192.84$131 inWon+$61.7157833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Over32c192.84$62 inLost-$61.718229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over33c175.03$58 inLost-$57.765750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over38c144.92$55 inLost-$55.0711217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Over33c133$44 inLost-$43.891145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under66c114$75 inWon+$38.641,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over39c65.51$26 inLost-$25.555139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x708b…6412backed Under62c64.52$40 inWon+$24.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc4…3b73backed Under65c61.54$40 inWon+$21.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over31c50.88$16 inLost-$15.7659445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over36c46$17 inLost-$16.561,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under69c43.48$30 inWon+$13.483450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under67c22.19$15 inWon+$7.321526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under63c20$13 inWon+$7.44062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.