TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c8,566$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,414.056,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c7,353$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.314,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under15c3,348$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+170.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under43c3,303$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.6381234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Over72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.991050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under16c2,812$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.22817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over47c1,955$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over36c1,861$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.2695332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c1,829$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.4754132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under13c1,636$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.1669742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under39c768.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.211637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Under30c666.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.661040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed Over71c595.23$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over71c570.87$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.853036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over13c512$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.565750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under25c471$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.2528443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over45c387$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8720059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under24c376.67$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.959660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over21c359.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under23c354.38$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.229358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over44c353.76$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.847844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c352.56$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9345249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Under62c322.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.746056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under24c275.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5912654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over19c275.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7111217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under67c226.3$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9213633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under26c216.02$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.863735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over29c189.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.711049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over13c168.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.896038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over62c159.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under24c153.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.317447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over15c150.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5657847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd8a…535ebacked Under78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5152…fa02backed Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over15c122.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.931612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+324.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under57c115.01$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.282060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over30c110.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9672658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over21c108.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.682326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under51c106.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.27143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over70c106.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.112045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c105.87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0113444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over22c104.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.067931.6%25 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Under34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Under41c99.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under18c99.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9296445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-67.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over14c85.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+62.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under78c83.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over58c76.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.340721.9%89 W · 318 L-53.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over31c76.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.661931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under63c69.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x208d…f6eabacked Under16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over37c62.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.062941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under25c61.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.364751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over33c60.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under27c56.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9827356.4%154 W · 119 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8638…b43bbacked Under36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over44c54.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.215937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over40c50.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb83b…dedfbacked Under80c45.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over63c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2541160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under77c43.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.256746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over67c42.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0811653.4%62 W · 54 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over46c39.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.057143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over40c27.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe39e…d77ebacked Over45c22.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under68c22.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.