Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55da0f3ad731e5481416f45109b79e46cf684788c59fc5d83f2f76a78fdaff90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 5c | 6,198$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 1c | 2,585$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 4c | 2,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 28c | 2,167$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,787$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 4c | 1,260$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.99 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 1,124$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.14 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 40c | 799$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.49 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 30c | 663.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.33 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 28c | 417.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 36c | 275.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 198.55$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 177.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 42c | 171.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5609…2020backed Over | 70c | 143.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 28c | 139.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 66c | 127$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 106.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 30c | 78.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 65c | 76.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 68c | 59.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 59.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 27c | 56.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Under | 35c | 50.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 49.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c8…5301backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 72c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 34c | 32.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 37c | 30.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 34c | 29.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 66c | 29.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 74c | 25.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 44c | 24.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Under | 73c | 15.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.