Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ce64a4a36773ae6cd0203a8ef628299b4ed0f2834589fddac5a27fe7fa887ee

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,581 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Over	44c	2,803$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	67c	2,361$1,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.57	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	53c	1,807$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.12	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	29c	1,270$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.64	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	69c	1,138$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.87	1,012	33.2%336 W · 676 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	6c	920.67$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.28	232	43.5%101 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Under	61c	830.51$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over	54c	648.25$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.11	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over	32c	602.03$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over	39c	510.82$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.25	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under	80c	500.1$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.1	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	79cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	12c	447.52$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.53	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under	57c	438.6$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.6	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.36per pick	39cpaid	+170.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under	47c	406.19$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.19	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under	47c	400$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	7c	380.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.17	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	9c	365.7$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.04	489	50.1%245 W · 244 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	10c	325.42$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.87	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over	30c	275.77$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.48	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over	36c	226.52$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	48cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13f0…18c3backed Over	54c	222.12$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over	10c	211.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	112	17.9%20 W · 92 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Over	53c	210$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.67	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	54c	191.23$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.96	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	16c	189.32$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under	57c	176.1$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.1	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	19c	174.87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.63	141	44%62 W · 79 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	9c	140.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576e…d5dcbacked Over	45c	111.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	28c	107.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	408	21.8%89 W · 319 L	-53.7wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	72c	103.34$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.55	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59bb…ddfcbacked Over	42c	95.16$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over	58c	85.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.02	22	81.8%18 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over	54c	83.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+73.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over	61c	81.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-7.0wins	-0.27per pick	54cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	37c	79.4$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	125	54.4%68 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over	39c	79.25$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.91	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb06c…561dbacked Over	58c	72.45$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.98	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over	57c	70$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over	57c	69.49$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	48c	68.97$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.71	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Under	44c	68.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.62	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	45c	68.23$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Over	62c	59.28$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.65	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf756…3a81backed Under	45c	53.14$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.14	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5152…fa02backed Over	39c	51.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	39c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	412	60.2%248 W · 164 L	+22.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under	46c	45.55$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	80c	43.21$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38eb…5a6dbacked Over	54c	37.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	34c	36.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	73c	36.96$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.96	67	64.2%43 W · 24 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54be…e6b6backed Over	57c	34.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6862…6648backed Over	58c	34.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	69c	33.63$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.29	284	56.7%161 W · 123 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…5ff6backed Under	47c	31.98$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.98	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over	50c	29.76$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under	56c	27.34$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	68cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed Under	68c	17.65$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.65	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	76cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5this page
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 0.5Under won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5Under won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 2.5Under won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 0.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 1.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Brighton & Hove Albion FC O/U 2.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event