TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Over49c40,331$19,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,762.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over50c17,800$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,900366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under27c14,701$4,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,675.762035%7 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c9,908$4,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,764.8576842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c8,354$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.294,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c6,516$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.682231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Under52c5,366$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.47955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…bb8abacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under59c4,575$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.621,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c3,750$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.54736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c3,718$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.3155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under52c2,820$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,802$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.031,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Under57c2,693$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Under51c2,646$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.54875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under51c2,507$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.221850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under50c2,425$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.35160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over48c2,413$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.431457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+56.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c2,359$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.5620059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c2,347$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.841,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c2,236$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.8757833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00017339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under51c1,970$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under52c1,893$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.411546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over32c1,883$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.341957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over14c1,752$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.443735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Over18c1,744$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.741936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c1,461$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.486,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c1,417$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.1259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under50c1,398$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.6913633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb74f…acbbbacked Over48c1,103$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under51c1,025$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49080953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over46c999.99$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under55c972.19$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c968.88$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.7669851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under48c965.34$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.6772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.862045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under53c849.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.066852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under58c748.62$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Over64c700$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under57c652.58$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.041816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c649.39$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over9c627.84$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under53c566.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.034027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Under52c561.11$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Over47c558$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over35c524.21$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.077844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over7c521.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.595937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over13c481.39$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7814144%62 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under60c465.11$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.112839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over49c428.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over49c420.4$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over74c403.7$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7415263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over50c393.77$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.067950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under65c351.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.19955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over49c304.08$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under65c290.79$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.782665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab6…fad4backed Under52c286$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under51c279$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.712147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Under53c275.92$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.68520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-62.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Under52c245.29$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.741145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Over40c237.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+170.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.568445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under50c232.06$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.852250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over45c230$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.514351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over27c211.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.113452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Under73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over43c196.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0811049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over52c194.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Under52c185.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under48c182$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1814253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under56c178.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.664544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c178.13$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3948950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under51c166.45$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.661258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over30c164.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over45c155$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.751540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Under52c143.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Under52c138.88$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c136.68$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.341827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under51c131.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.771764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6518841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c129.28$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.482,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.