TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Everton FCof Everton FC, Crystal Palace FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,347 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Crystal Palace FC76c654.29$494 inLost-$494.036,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Everton FC26c558.41$143 inWon+$415.1757833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Crystal Palace FC80c330.75$265 inLost-$264.655751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Everton FC63c308$194 inWon+$113.761,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Everton FC20c250$50 inWon+$2006334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Crystal Palace FC73c151$111 inLost-$110.891,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Everton FC23c149.03$34 inWon+$115.1211217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Everton FC20c136$27 inWon+$108.815547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Crystal Palace FC73c109.99$80 inLost-$80.465429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Crystal Palace FC70c102$71 inLost-$71.47436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Everton FC21c100$21 inWon+$79757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Crystal Palace FC80c92$73 inLost-$73.151,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Crystal Palace FC37c72$27 inLost-$26.6420440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Everton FC24c52.99$13 inWon+$40.2712554.4%68 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Everton FC22c50$11 inWon+$3912048.3%58 W · 62 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Crystal Palace FC79c31.65$25 inLost-$256764.2%43 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Crystal Palace FC79c14$11 inLost-$11.065354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.