Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacebf8703acff6fc21a935cd890e973c7601f3f606461a5d05bc47ad67b9a0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 20c | 13,775$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 80c | 3,089$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.96 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Over | 65c | 3,059$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 79c | 2,857$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.75 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 2,691$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.26 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 80c | 1,292$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.6 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 80c | 1,009$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 753.72$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.04 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 31c | 600$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 67c | 519.79$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 20c | 500.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 25c | 484.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 74c | 393.4$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 26c | 384.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 26c | 376$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 74c | 322$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 36c | 279.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5712…f144backed Over | 74c | 255.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 229.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 26c | 228.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 217.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 75c | 192.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 26c | 183.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 26c | 116.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 200 | 41%82 W · 118 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…cd34backed Under | 27c | 97.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 74c | 96.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 75c | 95.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 93.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Over | 67c | 93.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ae…44b2backed Under | 28c | 82.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 74c | 79.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…f280backed Under | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…4fc1backed Over | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…561dbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…0811backed Over | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 30c | 37.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…3473backed Over | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 74c | 22.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…d488backed Over | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6e…c289backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadf…40adbacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 80c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 74c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Everton FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Everton FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.