Premier League · resolved market
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf996764ac8e3e9141834ab85b756766b483576431f4e25b9e6642d0bf2bd38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 26c | 6,388$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.04 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 5,314$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Under | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 2,065$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.52 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked Over | 20c | 1,988$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Over | 3c | 1,677$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 7c | 1,543$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 1,542$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 26c | 1,356$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.55 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 26c | 1,313$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.43 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 67c | 1,040$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.19 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Under | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 918.06$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 73c | 852.4$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 26c | 761.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed Over | 27c | 581.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 18c | 569.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 478.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 19c | 383.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…882dbacked Under | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 27c | 276$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 15c | 211.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 73c | 198$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 79c | 158$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 14c | 148$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 26c | 129.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 10c | 126.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 79c | 111.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 25c | 107.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 32c | 104.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb1…944cbacked Over | 28c | 102.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Under | 80c | 101.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 20c | 57.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 51.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 27c | 40.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 79c | 39.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42cf…e697backed Over | 29c | 35.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…9be0backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 72c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Under | 74c | 13.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Everton FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Everton FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.