TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,526 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29fc…9a36backed Over70c2,775$1,952 inWon+$823.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c2,311$854 inLost-$854.476,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c1,000$300 inLost-$30069851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over69c1,000$690 inWon+$3105757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under29c903.1$262 inLost-$261.91,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over50c400$200 inWon+$2001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under78c256.41$200 inLost-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under28c195.09$55 inLost-$55.377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c150.56$46 inLost-$46.091,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35cf…6fabbacked Over70c134.42$94 inWon+$40.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over65c97.96$63 inWon+$34.746740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over45c95.54$43 inWon+$52.5535347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under74c83.57$62 inLost-$62.091,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over50c80$40 inWon+$401963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over42c70$30 inWon+$40.412748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c63.72$39 inLost-$38.734,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over29c49.99$15 inWon+$35.340821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over69c47.83$33 inWon+$14.836269.4%43 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x139f…bb2fbacked Over42c42.43$18 inWon+$24.43520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under37c39.6$15 inLost-$14.811,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over45c30$14 inWon+$16.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under39c26.19$10 inLost-$10.315749.7%78 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4801…6de9backed Over61c19.72$12 inWon+$7.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.