TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No30c14,618$4,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,340.676,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9719235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c8,752$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.772,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes67c6,718$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.982161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c4,990$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.594,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No33c3,356$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9335941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No34c2,300$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.1741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.591560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.865754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes68c1,330$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.079055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9385…f659backed Yes78c955.36$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.28450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc080…f9a0backed Yes67c910.45$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e98…ed3dbacked Yes66c833.33$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Yes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.251650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No33c778.63$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7355751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442d…f7bebacked Yes67c761.19$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.192673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.27580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes65c738.46$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.461275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57de…20cbbacked Yes69c725.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.542766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No33c723.96$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No33c709.61$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed No31c634.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.923167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No27c612.12$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.519246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes74c607.11$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.551,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No33c573.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes67c562.69$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8361…c9c9backed Yes67c540.3$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.31080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes67c522.39$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.393366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Yes66c504.55$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.551050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7615543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x473c…4f61backed Yes67c440$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes66c438.63$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6312741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes66c410.55$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.596056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes73c404.61$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.265154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes67c402.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.991872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Yes68c382.35$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.354057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.138350.6%42 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes71c353.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0111746.2%54 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes66c316.71$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.854731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.033256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd841…64cabacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89f…d1fbbacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes72c294$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3210051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No30c278.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5316024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No35c277.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.291,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No35c276.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No35c276.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.930057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b9…6811backed No38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Yes65c256.9$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.693661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb653…2458backed Yes68c256.05$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes67c242$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8630059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.883060%18 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Yes67c205.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.973842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No26c192.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9921254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes66c178.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9512562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No34c163.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5159247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404040%16 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Yes65c152.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.110554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0b…ed1abacked Yes65c151.72$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+95%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…cc6bbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc506…4c2dbacked Yes67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6358…23f1backed Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No34c149.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9919834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No34c149.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2511636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.258332.5%27 W · 56 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No33c149.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.251,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes63c144.44$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f11…701cbacked No24c139.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdde0…3b13backed Yes65c138.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed No36c137.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No31c134.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb2…5f39backed Yes75c133.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No34c130.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.016250%31 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c128$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b3…0e11backed Yes67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.42142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dcc…7a86backed No35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes66c111.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7617755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Yes66c107.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.062360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No26c101.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3139555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes67c101$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5d…6096backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7258…a695backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Yes65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Yes66c99.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.291338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Yes78c96.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55048%24 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes67c95.52$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.528959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8e…84e1backed Yes68c91.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4988…c244backed Yes66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2be…8249backed Yes66c83.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.333100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes67c82.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.216344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.