Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe459e5df93d685ea01459dc9cec01114626997bc9e2c3a9874cbc74e9aa66c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liverpool FCof Manchester United FC, Liverpool FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liverpool FC | 79c | 9,793$7,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Manchester United FC | 16c | 5,460$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Manchester United FC | 22c | 3,240$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 2,518$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.87 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Manchester United FC | 23c | 2,136$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.19 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Liverpool FC | 78c | 2,026$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.11 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 1,670$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester United FC | 17c | 1,541$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Manchester United FC | 22c | 1,355$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Manchester United FC | 7c | 988.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 799.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Manchester United FC | 21c | 699.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Liverpool FC | 44c | 682.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Manchester United FC | 8c | 640.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Liverpool FC | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…367dbacked Liverpool FC | 79c | 584.8$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Manchester United FC | 21c | 574.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 476.44$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Liverpool FC | 80c | 475.6$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…61b8backed Manchester United FC | 7c | 400.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Manchester United FC | 31c | 399.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liverpool FC | 78c | 387.62$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Manchester United FC | 25c | 374.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Liverpool FC | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Liverpool FC | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…7bfebacked Manchester United FC | 19c | 300.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Manchester United FC | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Liverpool FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…ba60backed Manchester United FC | 42c | 240.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Liverpool FC | 44c | 225.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…c794backed Manchester United FC | 45c | 212$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Liverpool FC | 79c | 199$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Liverpool FC | 70c | 195.61$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Liverpool FC | 59c | 195.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Manchester United FC | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af2…f92fbacked Manchester United FC | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Liverpool FC | 80c | 188.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…776fbacked Manchester United FC | 21c | 186.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Manchester United FC | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…afedbacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 155.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…da60backed Manchester United FC | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Liverpool FC | 80c | 130.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Liverpool FC | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…c68dbacked Liverpool FC | 79c | 124.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…fb00backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…39a7backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Liverpool FC | 79c | 116.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Liverpool FC | 70c | 104.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Liverpool FC | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…7a28backed Manchester United FC | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Manchester United FC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked Manchester United FC | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 93.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 91.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Liverpool FC | 79c | 90.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 89.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…7ff6backed Manchester United FC | 23c | 87.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Liverpool FC | 77c | 85.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Manchester United FC | 60c | 83.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…e84dbacked Manchester United FC | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 79.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Liverpool FC | 77c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Manchester United FC | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Liverpool FC | 38c | 68.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Liverpool FC | 31c | 67.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Liverpool FC | 36c | 67.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Manchester United FC | 22c | 66.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Liverpool FC | 68c | 60.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Liverpool FC | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manchester United FC | 22c | 58.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Liverpool FC | 77c | 50.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3775…3debbacked Manchester United FC | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Liverpool FC | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Liverpool FC | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…886dbacked Liverpool FC | 53c | 46.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76c…cbe0backed Liverpool FC | 43c | 46.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…0d0ebacked Manchester United FC | 58c | 44.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Liverpool FC | 79c | 42.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Liverpool FC | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Manchester United FC | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Liverpool FC | 80c | 33.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Liverpool FC | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Manchester United FC | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Manchester United FC | 57c | 28.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Liverpool FC | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…27acbacked Liverpool FC | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Manchester United FC | 59c | 24.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Liverpool FC | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Liverpool FC | 79c | 17.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Liverpool FC | 78c | 16.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.