TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3775…3deb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.5
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+74%+$55.47
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$61.61
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.66
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$41.11
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.45
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+400%+$100
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.23
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$37.92
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,411.6%+$564.65
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.83
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$63.8
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$83.88
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+206.9%+$64.12
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.88
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.32
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.32
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.13
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+307.4%+$161.42
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.21
1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Federica Urgesibacked Federica Urgesi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federico Bondioli vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguetbacked Juan Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+71%+$52.25
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+259.2%+$64.6
Saint-Malo: Elsa Jacquemot vs Bianca Andreescubacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.72
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.91
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$36.51
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$53.7
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.54
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.