MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c56a517e64caa9fbdaf4817f1e524c401e69cb65099cd3f3c13393e8cb4b572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Boston Red Sox | 6c | 150,929$8,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,874.86 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Houston Astros | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 16,392$8,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,056.66 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Houston Astros | 44c | 15,770$6,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,831.01 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 13,553$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Houston Astros | 46c | 12,247$5,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,613.38 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 10,303$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Houston Astros | 50c | 10,058$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.83 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 8,854$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 8,720$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.76 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 68c | 7,789$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.14 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 5,471$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 4,100$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 46c | 3,782$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.42 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.97 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 68c | 2,971$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.1 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 2,636$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.06 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Boston Red Sox | 4c | 2,432$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Boston Red Sox | 13c | 2,284$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…cab1backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,245$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,049$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.25 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Houston Astros | 50c | 2,017$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Boston Red Sox | 9c | 2,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,836$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,817$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.78 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,808$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.04 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,735$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.36 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 1,665$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,589$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.95 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Houston Astros | 66c | 1,441$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.68 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…ef82backed Boston Red Sox | 8c | 1,440$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 63c | 1,295$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.79 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Boston Red Sox | 9c | 1,295$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 1,247$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 1,203$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.81 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,184$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.72 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Boston Red Sox | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 11c | 992.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 845.45$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 45c | 781.26$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.11 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…da7fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 710.71$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 47c | 700.78$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.29 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 676$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 632.28$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 605.91$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.01 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 45c | 604.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 594.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Houston Astros | 77c | 530$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Houston Astros | 45c | 525$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Houston Astros | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Houston Astros | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 492.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox | 9c | 488.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 470$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Boston Red Sox | 27c | 446.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 48c | 402.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 45c | 395.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.79 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Houston Astros | 53c | 391.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 391.21$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 383.69$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Boston Red Sox | 8c | 382.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Houston Astros | 51c | 342$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 340.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Houston Astros | 45c | 331.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Boston Red Sox | 9c | 330.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Boston Red Sox | 9c | 330.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 329.54$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 314.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Houston Astros | 45c | 310$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Boston Red Sox | 9c | 301$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 45c | 300$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 294.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Boston Red Sox | 7c | 284.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Houston Astros | 45c | 280$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Boston Red Sox | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 272$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Boston Red Sox | 8c | 270.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 249.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…5a26backed Boston Red Sox | 5c | 248.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 240.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.74 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…284dbacked Boston Red Sox | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Houston Astros | 55c | 233.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Houston Astros | 56c | 227.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Houston Astros | 40c | 226.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Houston Astros | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 218$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Houston Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.