MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da8a723d8264858e403eee47a62deb242a992b2dc08653e57dbd25d8fccdd2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Atlanta Braves, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $534,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 166,844$73,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,923.15 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 76,500$43,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,894.92 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,499.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 45,312$24,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,709.49 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Atlanta Braves | 8c | 43,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.49 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 31,164$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 30,714$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,514.29 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 21,111$9,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,288.83 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 18,844$10,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,294.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 17,060$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.66 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 14,438$9,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 12,405$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,469.3 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 11,243$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.78 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 11,127$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.57 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 6,271$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.95 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 5,584$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 5,082$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.87 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 4,885$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 4,445$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.29 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 4,400$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 4,153$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 4,027$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 3,300$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 3,230$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.65 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 3,216$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.22 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,012$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.3 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,934$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.72 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,481$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.72 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,384$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,351$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.39 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Atlanta Braves | 11c | 2,235$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Atlanta Braves | 17c | 2,200$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 2,050$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.5 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,036$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.31 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 2,019$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,015$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.53 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,981$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,886$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.16 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,759$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.45 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,739$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.07 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 1,705$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.52 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 1,632$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,524$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,496$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.05 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,455$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.24 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,443$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.95 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 1,407$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,397$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.92 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Braves | 18c | 1,276$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.66 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,233$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 1,222$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,181$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.83 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,105$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.15 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 882.75$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.84 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 851.74$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.05 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 840.43$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 775.19$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 774.26$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 750$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.96 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 732.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.43 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 697.86$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 694.19$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 683.5$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.23 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 666.82$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.51 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 656.79$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.59 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…42c3backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 636.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 634.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.08 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 617.46$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.61 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 605.53$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.52 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 599.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 599.03$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.51 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 593.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 580$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 561.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 539.97$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Atlanta Braves | 14c | 537.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 531.4$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.97 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 511.25$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.06 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 508.43$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 505.05$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.87 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Braves | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 498.65$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 491.87$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.