MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fac9cfdb6e73583ec1db4f07850d195c9b871431b18d02762c8d73254b79440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 59c | 188,416$110,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,961.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 112,711$25,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,798.44 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 104,699$59,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,610.44 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 58,696$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.88 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 37,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 15,678$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 13,572$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.84 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 12,110$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,539.65 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 51c | 9,656$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.13 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 5,480$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…d66fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Houston Astros | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 3,982$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 57c | 3,656$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 3,574$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.84 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 3,561$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.75 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 3,559$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,313$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.09 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,894$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.94 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…d319backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 2,682$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.99 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,435$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.88 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,012$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.63 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177f…956cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 2,004$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 19c | 1,897$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,780$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.2 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 1,648$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.24 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,572$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.01 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,542$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.05 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 1,471$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc854…165bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,436$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,336$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,233$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 1,232$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…06bdbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,161$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 73c | 1,070$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,019$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.41 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Houston Astros | 61c | 1,018$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.95 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 1,014$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.27 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Houston Astros | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 993.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 981.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Houston Astros | 61c | 939$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.21 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 895.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…3a80backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 810.91$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 779.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Houston Astros | 47c | 767.02$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.52 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 746.2$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.68 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 638.31$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 610$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.3 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 599.13$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.12 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 585.12$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 569.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 46c | 550.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…325bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…d710backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 474.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 47c | 418.05$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Houston Astros | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 386.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 380$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 370.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 356.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Houston Astros | 66c | 353.69$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Houston Astros | 49c | 348.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 344.55$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 338.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 46c | 325$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 70c | 270.95$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 267.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Houston Astros | 71c | 236.08$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…1e41backed Houston Astros | 46c | 232.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 221.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…11c0backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 220.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…08ecbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 219.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…357abacked Houston Astros | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed Houston Astros | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Houston Astros | 46c | 216.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 216.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.