MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ac849e8db39d3fa29e82580fb93d1dedcf4812a633aced197eb456c6bb2dab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Baltimore Orioles, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 150,000$58,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,499.87 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 61c | 60,481$36,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,595.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 60c | 45,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 61c | 37,799$23,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,647.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 35,000$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed New York Yankees | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 23,073$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees | 63c | 23,000$14,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,422.42 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Yankees | 61c | 18,627$11,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,264.51 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 16,225$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.72 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed New York Yankees | 61c | 15,574$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.77 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 72c | 15,076$10,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 13,757$8,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.58 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 13,333$8,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.87 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 61c | 12,532$7,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,917.31 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Yankees | 60c | 11,658$6,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.35 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees | 61c | 10,025$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.75 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 10,023$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.46 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed New York Yankees | 62c | 8,306$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.45 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 6,349$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 5,776$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 60c | 5,414$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 5,024$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Yankees | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed New York Yankees | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Yankees | 61c | 4,618$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.02 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 4,217$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 3,711$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 3,606$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.95 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 3,235$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…e3acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 3,172$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 2,904$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 2,738$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed New York Yankees | 61c | 2,650$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.5 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 2,614$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.59 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 2,476$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.7 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.92 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 61c | 2,353$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.59 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 2,315$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.31 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,245$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.53 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 2,052$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,050$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked New York Yankees | 61c | 2,013$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.11 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed New York Yankees | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 1,860$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,757$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.7 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,683$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.7 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed New York Yankees | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,543$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 1,525$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.89 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed New York Yankees | 73c | 1,505$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.9 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,292$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…0ac4backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 1,199$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,066$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…8b3cbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 1,061$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,025$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,020$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.8 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,001$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.06 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…8756backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 982.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 975.59$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 928.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 863.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 855.53$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 800$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 65c | 760$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 77c | 686.69$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked New York Yankees | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…da7fbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 652.46$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…efc3backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 634.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed New York Yankees | 60c | 606.47$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.7 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 599.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 599.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 581.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed New York Yankees | 80c | 534.99$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 526.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked New York Yankees | 77c | 514.09$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 508.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 506.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 500.22$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dd…cdebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 456.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed New York Yankees | 61c | 452.2$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed New York Yankees | 61c | 426$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.14 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Yankees | 76c | 414.74$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 414.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.