MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5721aa7b8ab4550adb1a3daa15b70aef39d608a85701da74e4bec71c47791451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 10,618$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees | 57c | 8,012$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.75 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 5,702$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.4 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 45c | 2,427$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.95 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 1,473$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.6 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,358$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,237$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.9 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed New York Yankees | 44c | 1,221$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,220$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.26 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 44c | 1,184$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.44 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked New York Yankees | 44c | 1,175$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.02 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,114$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.56 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 44c | 955.83$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 909.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed New York Yankees | 46c | 838.11$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.23 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed New York Yankees | 44c | 813.89$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.78 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 44c | 812.35$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 809.31$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.47 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed New York Yankees | 42c | 796.32$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.32 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 793.67$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 638$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.59 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Yankees | 61c | 631.43$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.12 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 594.64$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed New York Yankees | 73c | 467.34$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed New York Yankees | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 418.67$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.42 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed New York Yankees | 46c | 402.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New York Yankees | 56c | 332.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.09 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 328$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 327.57$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 325$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 311.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 310$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 310$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees | 60c | 300$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked New York Yankees | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed New York Yankees | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 206.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 194.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 176.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed New York Yankees | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…e3acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 149.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa985…a8b6backed New York Yankees | 45c | 112.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed New York Yankees | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 106.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed New York Yankees | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 88.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 74.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed New York Yankees | 44c | 73.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed New York Yankees | 69c | 72.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 73c | 70.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees | 49c | 61.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 54.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed New York Yankees | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed New York Yankees | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 43.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 40.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed New York Yankees | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 38.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 37.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 33.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed New York Yankees | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees | 44c | 31.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked New York Yankees | 51c | 29.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 62c | 29.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked New York Yankees | 72c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed New York Yankees | 45c | 25.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…3d67backed New York Yankees | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…fa7dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees | 55c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…837abacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…d710backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 19.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed New York Yankees | 69c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…0191backed New York Yankees | 68c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.