TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2734…6d9ebacked Baltimore Orioles57c10,618$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005450%27 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees57c8,012$4,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.7551756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles43c5,702$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.42,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4251,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees45c2,427$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.954,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees44c1,700$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95267250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees43c1,473$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.61,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles44c1,358$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.5412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Baltimore Orioles56c1,237$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.956851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed New York Yankees44c1,221$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.73354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles56c1,220$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.261,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees44c1,184$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.442,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked New York Yankees44c1,175$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.027948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles56c1,114$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.561,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed New York Yankees46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-42.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees44c955.83$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.956,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Baltimore Orioles55c909.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9930844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed New York Yankees46c838.11$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2316644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed New York Yankees44c813.89$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.7826759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees44c812.35$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.985,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles34c809.31$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.478,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed New York Yankees42c796.32$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.3216543%71 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles42c793.67$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Baltimore Orioles39c638$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.596357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Yankees61c631.43$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1275344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Baltimore Orioles56c594.64$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33357744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed New York Yankees73c467.34$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.342860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed New York Yankees45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4411051.8%57 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles56c418.67$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.421,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed New York Yankees46c402.13$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.134320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed New York Yankees56c332.89$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0978146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Baltimore Orioles40c328$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2467742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Baltimore Orioles54c327.57$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.891,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Baltimore Orioles54c325$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees45c311.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7512845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Baltimore Orioles57c310$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.72259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Baltimore Orioles57c310$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.76152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees60c300$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.443,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked New York Yankees47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15913851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked New York Yankees46c271.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7420552.7%108 W · 97 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed New York Yankees44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2756946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles55c206.24$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4349158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Baltimore Orioles42c194.55$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7116947.3%80 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Baltimore Orioles57c176.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6747849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed New York Yankees44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0916242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…e3acbacked Baltimore Orioles13c149.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Baltimore Orioles56c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7548651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Baltimore Orioles56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.212350.4%62 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa985…a8b6backed New York Yankees45c112.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d3…02e4backed New York Yankees45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees59c106.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.831,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed New York Yankees44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5614161%86 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Baltimore Orioles54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Baltimore Orioles56c88.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6528850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees48c74.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.034,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed New York Yankees44c73.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed New York Yankees69c72.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.486851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees73c70.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.755,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc45a…5a3ebacked New York Yankees45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.678542.4%36 W · 49 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees49c61.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4324248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees45c54.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked New York Yankees46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3515045.3%68 W · 82 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles56c54.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.354,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed New York Yankees47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1911346.9%53 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed New York Yankees43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2816345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.458648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Baltimore Orioles56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed New York Yankees45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4421554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Baltimore Orioles45c43.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.671,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Baltimore Orioles32c40.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8349942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed New York Yankees45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2224152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Baltimore Orioles56c38.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6214353.1%76 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Baltimore Orioles47c37.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5220764.7%134 W · 73 L+21.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Baltimore Orioles56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027452.6%144 W · 130 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Baltimore Orioles57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9521353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Baltimore Orioles44c33.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9340148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc93…b91dbacked New York Yankees47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.913174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.8wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e5a…59b9backed New York Yankees47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.918943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees44c31.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7384122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked New York Yankees48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5727354.6%149 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked New York Yankees51c29.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3266749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees62c29.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.066,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked New York Yankees72c28.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837444.4%166 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed New York Yankees45c25.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8929752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed New York Yankees45c24.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.755947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa734…fa7dbacked Baltimore Orioles54c21.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees55c20.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.086,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.45,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…837abacked Baltimore Orioles55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91850%9 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb267…d710backed Baltimore Orioles55c19.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed New York Yankees69c17.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3837143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x400d…0191backed New York Yankees68c17.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.